Wednesday, June 24, 2009

Another Waffle From Kahmenei

Alsumaria Iraqi Satellite TV Network is reporting that Iran's Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Kahmenei has extended the deadline for investigating complaints of election fraud by five days. This directly on the heels of his pronouncement that Iran would not "yield at any cost" to the opposition protests.

I'm telling you. Kahmenei has Ahmadinejad sitting on one shoulder, whispering about the status quo and Rafsanjani on the other shoulder whispering about change. And they're both threatening to castrate him if he doesn't listen. I'm not ready to make any predictions, but something is brewing inside the upper echelons of Iran's religious elite, and Kahmenei, who is likely shut out of most ecclesiastic deliberations, is flailing, looking for an anchor. No doubt Ahmadinejad sees himself as the next Supreme Leader, while Kahmenei is clearly attempting to establish a dynasty by appointing his son as his successor. I also think that the ayatollahs do not want Ahmadinejad as Supreme Leader because he is not a mullah or ayatollah, and they don't want another "political ayatollah" like Kahmenei in power. I also think Rafsanjani may well see himself as the next Supreme Leader, and in fact, if the rumors are true, we might see him declared such in Qom any day now. Rafsanjani certainly has the gravitas to rise to that highest post. Again, I'm not ready to make any all-out predictions, but this "rebellion" in Iran is far from over, and it is not only taking place in the streets.

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